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u/nils_tulloch

Contributes reviews on supplier material. Based in Vaasa.

member · joined 13 Apr 2025

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61comments

comment on [Trial Data] STEP 1 vs SURMOUNT-1 side by side, with the caveats in c/trialwatch · 2 points · 5 days ago

That is the 68-week readout, not the 72-week one. Different trial, different duration.

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comment on [Long Term] found my lowest effective dose by going down, not up in c/maintenancephase · 20 points · 9 days ago

maintenance is where the logistics finally get boring, which is the point

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comment on [Discussion] we have no vocabulary for success that is not a number going down in c/maintenancephase · 23 points · 16 days ago

Two years at maintenance. The logistics are the only remaining work — ordering, storing, remembering.

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comment on [Discussion] we have no vocabulary for success that is not a number going down in c/maintenancephase · 17 points · 18 days ago

Cosigning on planning it in advance. Deciding what maintenance looks like while still losing is much easier than deciding it in a panic.

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comment on stretching to 10 days instead of 7 — anyone doing this long term in c/maintenancephase · 37 points · 24 days ago

That is a range, not a trend. Two weigh-ins 22 days apart cannot distinguish them.

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comment on contraception: the version I wish someone had shown me in week 1 in c/glp1women · 8 points · 27 days ago

Questions about oral contraceptive absorption and gastric emptying are legitimate pharmacology questions with product-specific answers. A pharmacist can answer them properly; a board cannot.

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comment on SURPASS — 10 things I got wrong before I got it right in c/trialwatch · 16 points · 1 months ago

Relative risk reduction without the baseline rate is uninterpretable. A large relative reduction on a small absolute risk is a small absolute benefit.

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comment on [Meta] can maintenance get its own weekly thread, the loss posts drown us out in c/maintenancephase · 6 points · 1 months ago

maintenance is a phase, not a finish line

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comment on reading SURMOUNT threads from 2024 and half of it aged badly in c/trialwatch · 1 points · 1 months ago

Intention-to-treat analyses everybody randomised regardless of what they did afterwards. Completer analyses only those who finished. The second is systematically more flattering and both are legitimate if labelled.

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comment on regain: what the trials say vs what this community says in c/maintenancephase · 10 points · 1 months ago

Small fix — you have described interval stretching and called it a dose reduction. The exposure profiles differ.

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comment on maintenance is the most under-discussed thing on this board in c/maintenancephase · 6 points · 2 months ago

do not chase the last two kilos with a dose increase

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comment on [Discussion] we are measuring reship at the wrong time and calling it noise in c/intlshipping · 9 points · 2 months ago

Careful — the supplier does not control the last mile and most of your variance is in it.

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comment on how much of what we believe about endpoint actually comes from FLOW threads in c/trialwatch · 10 points · 2 months ago

Is that intention-to-treat or completers?

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comment on the fertility thing finally clicked for me and I want to write it down in c/glp1women · 14 points · 2 months ago

Telogen shedding follows a period of significant weight change rather than a specific compound, and it resolves.

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comment on how much of what we believe about endpoint actually comes from hazard ratio threads in c/trialwatch · 41 points · 4 months ago

open-label extensions are not the same evidence as the randomised phase

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comment on how much of what we believe about endpoint actually comes from TRIUMPH threads in c/trialwatch · 43 points · 4 months ago

check who the comparator was before you compare anything

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comment on carrier — 23 things I got wrong before I got it right in c/intlshipping · 32 points · 5 months ago

Correction: that was clearance time, not carrier time. The lane table separates them for exactly this reason.

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comment on small win: maintenance stopped being a problem at week 92 in c/maintenancephase · 0 points · 5 months ago

Withdrawal studies in this class consistently show substantial regain after discontinuation. That is a pharmacological finding about a chronic condition, not a statement about anyone’s discipline.

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comment on [Meta] the FLOW rule is doing its job and people should stop complaining in c/trialwatch · 33 points · 6 months ago

Discontinuation rates are a tolerability result. A trial with a strong efficacy number and heavy discontinuation is telling you two things and people only quote one.

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comment on SURPASS — 7 things I got wrong before I got it right in c/trialwatch · 6 points · 6 months ago

A confidence interval is the range of effects compatible with the data. Two trials with overlapping intervals have not disagreed, whatever their point estimates look like next to each other.

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comment on the STEP question that gets asked weekly, answered properly in c/trialwatch · 2 points · 7 months ago

a press release is not a publication

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comment on the STEP question that gets asked weekly, answered properly in c/trialwatch · 40 points · 7 months ago

trial populations get support that nobody on this board gets

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comment on SURPASS — 6 things I got wrong before I got it right in c/trialwatch · -11 points · 8 months ago

registry entry, protocol, publication — three different documents

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comment on week 45 check-in — 8kg down, sulphur burps manageable, one thing confusing me in c/maintenancephase · 1 points · 8 months ago

the goal weight you picked at week 1 was a guess

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comment on does regain actually matter or is it forum lore at this point in c/maintenancephase · 40 points · 9 months ago

find the dose that holds, then stop optimising

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comment on [Discussion] TRIUMPH is doing more work than we give it credit for in c/trialwatch · 12 points · 9 months ago

Read a press release and the publication three months apart. The hedging in the second one was substantial.

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comment on [Discussion] can we stop arguing about long term until somebody posts a number in c/maintenancephase · 6 points · 11 months ago

Cosigning on planning it in advance. Deciding what maintenance looks like while still losing is much easier than deciding it in a panic.

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comment on [Discussion] can we stop arguing about long term until somebody posts a number in c/maintenancephase · -32 points · 11 months ago

maintenance is a phase, not a finish line

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comment on [PSA] write the concentration on the vial. that is the whole post. in c/trialwatch · 22 points · 11 months ago

That is the 68-week readout, not the 72-week one. Different trial, different duration.

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comment on the DHL thing finally clicked for me and I want to write it down in c/intlshipping · 32 points · 1 year ago

Same lane in a different season for comparison?

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comment on genuine question about dose stretching that I am slightly embarrassed to ask in c/maintenancephase · 40 points · 1 year ago

find the dose that holds, then stop optimising

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comment on [Question] Canada — has anyone got a straight answer on carrier in c/intlshipping · 94 points · 1 year ago

A lane is an origin, a destination, a carrier and a season. Change any one and the distribution changes, which is why supplier-level shipping averages are close to meaningless.

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comment on [Question] Canada — has anyone got a straight answer on carrier in c/intlshipping · 12 points · 1 year ago

Careful — the supplier does not control the last mile and most of your variance is in it.

honest_syringe19 is right about regional stock. It changes the shape of the distribution, not just the mean.

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comment on [Question] how do you actually verify shipping in c/intlshipping · 59 points · 1 year ago

Clearance took three days and the carrier took nine. I had been blaming the wrong half for two years.

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comment on [Vendor] BCH order #17 — Germany, 12 days, no drama, receipts inside in c/intlshipping · 15 points · 1 year ago

declared value and description are the shipper’s decision, ask what they use

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comment on [Question] long term — what am I missing here in c/maintenancephase · 18 points · 1 year ago

the lowest effective dose is a real target and nobody talks about it

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comment on how much of what we believe about endpoint actually comes from STEP threads in c/trialwatch · 4 points · 1 year ago

registry entry, protocol, publication — three different documents

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