stretching to 10 days instead of 7 — anyone doing this long term. Making the case below, and I expect to lose some of it in the comments. Figures up front so nobody has…
u/nils_tulloch
Contributes reviews on supplier material. Based in Vaasa.
member · joined 13 Apr 2025
comment on [Trial Data] STEP 1 vs SURMOUNT-1 side by side, with the caveats in c/trialwatch · 2 points · 5 days ago
That is the 68-week readout, not the 72-week one. Different trial, different duration.
comment on [Long Term] found my lowest effective dose by going down, not up in c/maintenancephase · 20 points · 9 days ago
maintenance is where the logistics finally get boring, which is the point
comment on [Discussion] we have no vocabulary for success that is not a number going down in c/maintenancephase · 23 points · 16 days ago
Two years at maintenance. The logistics are the only remaining work — ordering, storing, remembering.
comment on [Discussion] we have no vocabulary for success that is not a number going down in c/maintenancephase · 17 points · 18 days ago
Cosigning on planning it in advance. Deciding what maintenance looks like while still losing is much easier than deciding it in a panic.
comment on stretching to 10 days instead of 7 — anyone doing this long term in c/maintenancephase · 37 points · 24 days ago
That is a range, not a trend. Two weigh-ins 22 days apart cannot distinguish them.
comment on contraception: the version I wish someone had shown me in week 1 in c/glp1women · 8 points · 27 days ago
Questions about oral contraceptive absorption and gastric emptying are legitimate pharmacology questions with product-specific answers. A pharmacist can answer them properly; a board cannot.
comment on SURPASS — 10 things I got wrong before I got it right in c/trialwatch · 16 points · 1 months ago
Relative risk reduction without the baseline rate is uninterpretable. A large relative reduction on a small absolute risk is a small absolute benefit.
comment on [Meta] can maintenance get its own weekly thread, the loss posts drown us out in c/maintenancephase · 6 points · 1 months ago
maintenance is a phase, not a finish line
comment on reading SURMOUNT threads from 2024 and half of it aged badly in c/trialwatch · 1 points · 1 months ago
Intention-to-treat analyses everybody randomised regardless of what they did afterwards. Completer analyses only those who finished. The second is systematically more flattering and both are legitimate if labelled.
comment on regain: what the trials say vs what this community says in c/maintenancephase · 10 points · 1 months ago
Small fix — you have described interval stretching and called it a dose reduction. The exposure profiles differ.
unpopular opinion: most of what gets said here about lowest effective dose is guesswork. Making the case below, and I expect to lose some of it in the comments.…
comment on maintenance is the most under-discussed thing on this board in c/maintenancephase · 6 points · 2 months ago
do not chase the last two kilos with a dose increase
comment on [Discussion] we are measuring reship at the wrong time and calling it noise in c/intlshipping · 9 points · 2 months ago
Careful — the supplier does not control the last mile and most of your variance is in it.
comment on how much of what we believe about endpoint actually comes from FLOW threads in c/trialwatch · 10 points · 2 months ago
Is that intention-to-treat or completers?
comment on the fertility thing finally clicked for me and I want to write it down in c/glp1women · 14 points · 2 months ago
Telogen shedding follows a period of significant weight change rather than a specific compound, and it resolves.
comment on how much of what we believe about endpoint actually comes from hazard ratio threads in c/trialwatch · 41 points · 4 months ago
open-label extensions are not the same evidence as the randomised phase
comment on how much of what we believe about endpoint actually comes from TRIUMPH threads in c/trialwatch · 43 points · 4 months ago
check who the comparator was before you compare anything
comment on carrier — 23 things I got wrong before I got it right in c/intlshipping · 32 points · 5 months ago
Correction: that was clearance time, not carrier time. The lane table separates them for exactly this reason.
comment on small win: maintenance stopped being a problem at week 92 in c/maintenancephase · 0 points · 5 months ago
Withdrawal studies in this class consistently show substantial regain after discontinuation. That is a pharmacological finding about a chronic condition, not a statement about anyone’s discipline.
comment on [Meta] the FLOW rule is doing its job and people should stop complaining in c/trialwatch · 33 points · 6 months ago
Discontinuation rates are a tolerability result. A trial with a strong efficacy number and heavy discontinuation is telling you two things and people only quote one.
we are measuring DHL at the wrong time and calling it noise, which sounds obvious until you try to state the evidence for it. Four observations is not a distribution.…
comment on SURPASS — 7 things I got wrong before I got it right in c/trialwatch · 6 points · 6 months ago
A confidence interval is the range of effects compatible with the data. Two trials with overlapping intervals have not disagreed, whatever their point estimates look like next to each other.
comment on the STEP question that gets asked weekly, answered properly in c/trialwatch · 2 points · 7 months ago
a press release is not a publication
comment on the STEP question that gets asked weekly, answered properly in c/trialwatch · 40 points · 7 months ago
trial populations get support that nobody on this board gets
comment on SURPASS — 6 things I got wrong before I got it right in c/trialwatch · -11 points · 8 months ago
registry entry, protocol, publication — three different documents
comment on week 45 check-in — 8kg down, sulphur burps manageable, one thing confusing me in c/maintenancephase · 1 points · 8 months ago
the goal weight you picked at week 1 was a guess
comment on does regain actually matter or is it forum lore at this point in c/maintenancephase · 40 points · 9 months ago
find the dose that holds, then stop optimising
comment on [Discussion] TRIUMPH is doing more work than we give it credit for in c/trialwatch · 12 points · 9 months ago
Read a press release and the publication three months apart. The hedging in the second one was substantial.
comment on [Discussion] can we stop arguing about long term until somebody posts a number in c/maintenancephase · 6 points · 11 months ago
Cosigning on planning it in advance. Deciding what maintenance looks like while still losing is much easier than deciding it in a panic.
comment on [Discussion] can we stop arguing about long term until somebody posts a number in c/maintenancephase · -32 points · 11 months ago
maintenance is a phase, not a finish line
comment on [PSA] write the concentration on the vial. that is the whole post. in c/trialwatch · 22 points · 11 months ago
That is the 68-week readout, not the 72-week one. Different trial, different duration.
comment on the DHL thing finally clicked for me and I want to write it down in c/intlshipping · 32 points · 1 year ago
Same lane in a different season for comparison?
comment on genuine question about dose stretching that I am slightly embarrassed to ask in c/maintenancephase · 40 points · 1 year ago
find the dose that holds, then stop optimising
comment on [Question] Canada — has anyone got a straight answer on carrier in c/intlshipping · 94 points · 1 year ago
A lane is an origin, a destination, a carrier and a season. Change any one and the distribution changes, which is why supplier-level shipping averages are close to meaningless.
comment on [Question] Canada — has anyone got a straight answer on carrier in c/intlshipping · 12 points · 1 year ago
Careful — the supplier does not control the last mile and most of your variance is in it.
honest_syringe19 is right about regional stock. It changes the shape of the distribution, not just the mean.
comment on [Question] how do you actually verify shipping in c/intlshipping · 59 points · 1 year ago
Clearance took three days and the carrier took nine. I had been blaming the wrong half for two years.
comment on [Vendor] BCH order #17 — Germany, 12 days, no drama, receipts inside in c/intlshipping · 15 points · 1 year ago
declared value and description are the shipper’s decision, ask what they use
comment on [Question] long term — what am I missing here in c/maintenancephase · 18 points · 1 year ago
the lowest effective dose is a real target and nobody talks about it
comment on how much of what we believe about endpoint actually comes from STEP threads in c/trialwatch · 4 points · 1 year ago
registry entry, protocol, publication — three different documents