[Meta] the shipping rule is doing its job and people should stop complaining
Putting this to the board: the shipping rule is doing its job and people should stop complaining.
A quoted lead time is a commitment you can evaluate. Measuring quoted against actual across several orders tells you more about an operation than the raw speed does.
Median transit is the useful statistic. The minimum is a story about one shipment and the mean is dragged around by a single hold.
Regional stock replaces an international lane with a domestic one. That is a structural change to the distribution, not a marginal improvement, and it is why the warehouse question matters more than the carrier question.
If somebody has the same thing measured a different way, post it next to mine and we will see whether they agree.
best — the order this archive was captured in
Four observations is not a distribution. The lane tables here only became predictive once individual routes had a dozen or more reports behind them.
Four observations is not a distribution.
Agreed — and the decomposition matters. Most people are blaming the international leg for a last-mile problem.
Agreed — and the decomposition matters.
Disagreeing with this bit: a single slow shipment does not move a lane, it joins the distribution.
the lane is the unit of analysis, not the supplier
I would not read a single slow shipment as a lane change. Post it and let the median move if it is real.
I would not read a single slow shipment as a lane change.
This is why the lane table is organised the way it is. The supplier is not the unit.
Agreed on rigid packaging. It costs the shipper almost nothing and it predicts a lot about the rest of the operation.
Cosigning the seasonality point. February and August on the same lane are different animals.
Was it shipped from a regional warehouse or from origin?
What lead time were you quoted at checkout?
reship policy in writing before you order
rigid outer packaging is the cheapest quality signal there is
Do they publish a reship policy, and did you read it before ordering?
ask which lines are actually held in the regional warehouse
Merged into the standing thread for that lane so the reports accumulate in one place.
Push back: comparing a July transit with a February one on the same lane is not a comparison.
Push back: comparing a July transit with a February one on the same lane is not a comparison.
Adding the field everyone forgets — the month. Without it the report is not comparable to anything.
That is the quoted lead time, not the observed transit. Both belong in the report and they are different columns.
Correcting myself: 13 days, not the figure I posted upthread. I was counting from the order date rather than dispatch.
Packaging is assessable on arrival with no equipment: rigid outer, no movement inside, the cold element sized to the transit rather than to the box.
That is a packaging observation, not a transit observation. Worth posting, worth separating.
That is a packaging observation, not a transit observation.
ines_boateng is right about regional stock. It changes the shape of the distribution, not just the mean.
customs clearance time is not carrier time and they get conflated
summer and winter are different lanes with the same name
a quoted lead time you can hold them to is worth more than a fast one you cannot
Same lane, four orders, 14 to 16 days, all four within a couple of days of the quote. That consistency is the actual finding.
a lane with four reports is not yet a lane
origin, destination, carrier, month — post all four or the report is noise
two identical orders a week apart is the cheapest experiment available
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