[Discussion] the lane advice in here is 2 years out of date
the lane advice in here is 2 years out of date, and I am aware this is a minority view on this board. The relevant figures are 2 years, and they come from the same log I have kept the whole time. Split one order across two months on purpose to compare summer and winter. Four days apart, same carrier, same route.…
Same lane, four orders, 16 to 14 days, all four within a couple of days of the quote. That consistency is the actual finding.
Total transit decomposes into first mile, international leg, clearance and last mile. Only the first two are meaningfully under the shipper’s control and most reported variance sits in the last two.
Small fix — shipped from the regional warehouse, not from origin, which is why the number looks unusual.
Careful — the supplier does not control the last mile and most of your variance is in it.
Median transit is the useful statistic. The minimum is a story about one shipment and the mean is dragged around by a single hold.
A lane is an origin, a destination, a carrier and a season. Change any one and the distribution changes, which is why supplier-level shipping averages are close to meaningless.