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c/trialwatch·posted 8 months ago by u/rohan_cardoso

help me understand SURMOUNT, I have read the wiki twice

Paper

The title is the whole question — help me understand SURMOUNT, I have read the wiki twice — but here is why I am asking.

Discontinuation rates are a tolerability result. A trial with a strong efficacy number and heavy discontinuation is telling you two things and people only quote one.

The registered protocol is public. Comparing the registered primary endpoint with the reported one is a two-minute check and it is how outcome switching gets caught.

Relative risk reduction without the baseline rate is uninterpretable. A large relative reduction on a small absolute risk is a small absolute benefit.

Ask me anything specific. Anything general I will probably get wrong.

336 up / 374 down47% upvoted12 commentsid 4esfif23 Nov 2025

12 comments

12 in this archive, depth 3

best — the order this archive was captured in

u/eu_apotheke_a9 points·8 months ago

Open-label extensions lose their randomisation. Anybody still enrolled at week 104 is a selected group and the numbers describe that group.

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u/enzo_ferrari3 points·8 months ago

Right — trial participants get structured support. Comparing yourself to a trial mean is comparing across two different interventions.

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u/trialwatch_theoMOD6 points·8 months ago

Left up and flaired Trial Data. The publication is linked rather than the coverage, which is what we ask for.

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u/rohan_cardosoOP3 points·8 months ago·edited

Which trial, and which arm?

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u/anders_vermeulen2 points·8 months ago

That is the 68-week readout, not the 72-week one. Different trial, different duration.

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[removed]3 points·8 months ago

[removed by moderator]

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u/slow_logbook_notes302 points·8 months ago·edited

Compared myself to a trial mean for about six months before realising the trial arm had dietitian contact every fortnight.

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u/week_four_wall3 points·8 months ago

Cardiovascular outcome trials are powered for events, not for weight, and are typically run in a different population with different inclusion criteria. Reading a weight number out of one is reading a secondary endpoint.

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u/britta_boateng-36 points·8 months ago

STEP is semaglutide obesity, SURMOUNT is tirzepatide obesity, they are not interchangeable

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u/sofia_wikstrom2 points·8 months ago

Intention-to-treat analyses everybody randomised regardless of what they did afterwards. Completer analyses only those who finished. The second is systematically more flattering and both are legitimate if labelled.

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u/rohan_cardosoOP2 points·8 months ago

SELECT was cardiovascular outcomes, not weight

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Clinical trial reading group. New readouts, protocol amendments, endpoint definitions, dropout handling, and the difference between a press release and a publication. Absolute risk reduction and number-needed-to-treat are house dialect here.

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