[Discussion] can we stop arguing about carrier until somebody posts a number
Question in the title, detail here: can we stop arguing about carrier until somebody posts a number.
The rigid outer with no rattle in it was the thing that told me most about that supplier, before I had tested anything.
Why this board reports by lane and not by supplier.
Two members ordering from the same operation, in the same month, can see completely different transit times because they are on different routes with different carriers and different clearance points. Averaging them produces a supplier-level number that predicts nothing for either of them.
A lane — origin, destination, carrier, month — is the smallest thing that behaves consistently enough to be worth measuring. Once a route has a dozen reports behind it the median is genuinely useful, and that is what the tables on the source pages are built from.
Posted my first lane report here without the month and got asked for it. Fair, and the table is better for the fussiness.
Screenshot none of this. Read the whole thread, including the parts where I am told I am wrong.
best — the order this archive was captured in
Four observations is not a distribution. The lane tables here only became predictive once individual routes had a dozen or more reports behind them.
Clearance took three days and the carrier took nine. I had been blaming the wrong half for two years.
Median transit is the useful statistic. The minimum is a story about one shipment and the mean is dragged around by a single hold.
A quoted lead time is a commitment you can evaluate. Measuring quoted against actual across several orders tells you more about an operation than the raw speed does.
A quoted lead time is a commitment you can evaluate.
chidi_demir is right about regional stock. It changes the shape of the distribution, not just the mean.
Origin, destination, carrier and month?
That is the quoted lead time, not the observed transit. Both belong in the report and they are different columns.
a quoted lead time you can hold them to is worth more than a fast one you cannot
Packaging is assessable on arrival with no equipment: rigid outer, no movement inside, the cold element sized to the transit rather than to the box.
- 1Median transit is the useful statistic. The minimum is a story about one…6 comments in this branch · started by u/cato_girard